Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 64.208728 71.847886 79.751202 88.516942 97.945425 107.760707 118.729704
2025-02-16 53.964663 65.363755 77.794898 92.263672 108.545815 126.209962 146.728293
2025-02-23 47.133994 60.385722 75.375750 93.396645 114.280683 137.535380 165.197379
2025-03-02 40.510096 54.723805 71.358061 91.949790 116.440495 144.332682 178.187254
2025-03-09 35.597656 50.479543 68.438500 91.250994 118.997121 151.205567 190.961974
2025-03-16 31.815608 47.211737 66.324706 91.174952 122.004843 158.393321 203.963696
2025-03-23 29.893525 46.100802 66.703564 94.008354 128.431169 169.603403 221.756525
2025-03-30 27.378522 43.959497 65.561114 94.752435 132.150235 177.473057 235.530216
2025-04-06 25.145084 41.994027 64.470726 95.410379 135.648476 185.009924 248.891948
2025-04-13 22.079912 38.596649 61.235751 93.052516 135.126713 187.432614 255.882579
2025-04-20 21.152198 38.196712 62.009570 95.960652 141.371961 198.337864 273.445104
2025-04-27 19.890939 37.191765 61.857066 97.556442 145.872776 207.046278 288.317523
2025-05-04 18.361559 35.699276 60.978567 98.173064 149.158724 214.354803 301.674470
2025-05-11 17.766683 35.622900 62.118526 101.599141 156.246659 226.650467 321.520163
2025-05-18 16.649850 34.611688 61.812201 102.935591 160.488124 235.263068 336.711857
2025-05-25 14.877060 32.369952 59.541692 101.360361 160.674880 238.526124 345.012684
2025-06-01 13.477281 30.629957 57.918493 100.616481 161.925287 243.139368 355.044163
2025-06-08 12.355587 29.272223 56.798705 100.533967 164.042288 248.878421 366.552188
2025-06-15 12.000426 29.260214 57.781822 103.570084 170.562497 260.553734 385.927771
2025-06-22 11.203692 28.365529 57.298209 104.367001 173.895525 267.954409 399.721546
2025-06-29 10.450264 27.484358 56.781558 105.071609 177.075055 275.151386 413.282265
2025-07-06 9.166976 25.444310 54.232595 102.546099 175.507966 275.812930 418.099052
2025-07-13 8.969276 25.562226 55.308305 105.660828 182.162164 287.791684 438.134836